Conditions

Light Precip on Sunday in Tahoe

0 Comments 02 March 2013

The system for Sunday will try to pull in some moisture from a low sitting East of Hawaii. The ridge is trying to build back in off the coast at the same time so the the moisture feed looks limited. We will see cooler temps and some light precip on Sunday with snow levels between 6500-7000 ft. We may see an inch or two of accumulation on the mountain.

Monday we warm again quickly ahead of the larger storm approaching later Tuesday into Wednesday. There is still a big spread on the forecast models this morning. Some bring the cold front through with 6-9 inches on the mountain, then the main low drops down from the North on Thursday with another inch or two. Other forecast models are bringing in 6-12 inches with the front Wednesday, another another 3-6 with the low on Thursday. So still some fine tuning to do.

One of the forecast models brings another storm in on the heels of this one next Friday before the ridge builds back in, dropping another 3-6 inches. It has merit as it has been consistent with this, but other forecast models are not showing the second storm.

So we have agreement on snow next week but over the weekend hopefully we will get a little more clarity on amounts. Right now it looks like a low end of 9 inches for the mountain and a high end of up to 2 feet.

The good news is that there is actually more agreement in the long-range than the short-range. A big pattern change looks to be on the way by the 12th with a cold trough setting up for the West Coast. That would return us to Winter with lots of cold air and moisture moving in off the Pacific. If we can get a good moisture feed to setup it could bring us quite a bit of snow. BA

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