Alpine Weather: It’s snowtime

1 Comment 13 February 2011

We will start with lots of wind tomorrow as the jetstream approaches the area.  Light snow showers could develop during the day as precip reaches the crest.  We could see a couple of  inches Monday on the mountain and a few more inches Monday night and  Tuesday.  Total of 5-10 inches by Tuesday afternoon.

Then the heavy snow finally arrives as the cold front approaches Tuesday night and lasts through the day on Wednesday.  That should drop around 2-3 feet of additional snow on top of what we get Monday-Tuesday.  Snow showers will continue Wednesday night and Thursday with snow ratios of 20:1.  So even though the liquid amounts will be light the snow will pile up fast in the bands of snow showers.  I’m expecting storm totals of over 3 feet by the Friday morning snow report.

The GFS weather model is the outlier showing things clearing out for President’s weekend.  The other models show another wave of snow for Friday and Saturday.  Depending on whether this storm comes to our south or just over us, we could see anything from a dusting up to another foot of snow.  Hopefully the models can come into some sort of agreement with the track of the storm today or tomorrow.  Either way it will be cold with highs in the teens and 20′s into President’s weekend.

Models are still all over the place for week two.  It looks as if the ridge out in the Pacific will be a little further east towards the Gulf of Alaska.  This would continue to drive cold air into our region and bring light-moderate sized storms down the coast.  Because they would not have the over water trajectory like this week’s storm, they would have lighter snow amounts, but with the really cold air the snow could still pile up.

Stay tuned as we fine tune the snow amounts and details for this week.

BA The Weather Guru - who has written 30 posts on Ski Alpine Meadows.
The Weather Guru specializes in long range storm forecasting and snowfall predictions for the Tahoe Basin. He studied meteorology at Kean University and has been tracking snowstorms for over 20 years. He considers himself a Hobbyist that is passionate about weather and obsessed with big snowstorms.

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1 comment

  1. Terine says:

    We missed the snow by a couple of days but Alpine Meadows ski instructor, Eva G. was an awesome instructor! I didnt eat it once over the 3 days after taking lessons from her…she’s awesome!

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